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NLD Нидерланды - Эрстедивизи · Final ·

ПСВ - Резерв vs ТОП Осс

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1ПСВ - РезервТОП Осс
Expected goals3.38Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 22% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ТОП Осс win (18.5%)Двойной шанс1X81.5%1.23
Больше 66% · Меньше 34%Goals 2.5Больше66%1.52
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
11.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapТОП Осс winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ПСВ - Резерв win60%1.671.5760.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
ТОП Осс win19%5.265.2518%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ПСВ - Резерв2.02

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.38Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 66% · Меньше 34%

ТОП Осс1.36

Гости share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ПСВ - Резерв

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ТОП Осс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.36
ПСВ - РезервТОП Осс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ПСВ - Резерв signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ТОП Осс signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ПСВ - Резерв vs ТОП Осс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ПСВ - Резерв выигрыш 60%,Ничья 22%,ТОП Осс выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · ТБ 2.5 66% · Current selection Больше