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DEU Germany DFB Pokal · Fixture ·

VSG Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw21%
Away win58%
Baseline forecastAway winTier C · 58% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win58% selection probability
Projected score1–2VSG AltglienickeWolfsburg
Expected goals3.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 21% / 58%Match resultAway win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes VSG Altglienicke win (20.5%)Double chanceX279.5%1.26
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
VSG Altglienicke win20%5.00
Draw21%4.76
Wolfsburg win58%1.72

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VSG Altglienicke1.13

Home share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals3.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Wolfsburg2.04

Away share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

VSG Altglienicke

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wolfsburg

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
58%
0
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
2.04
VSG AltglienickeWolfsburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VSG Altglienicke signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wolfsburg signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

VSG Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VSG Altglienicke win 20%,Draw 21%,Wolfsburg win 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over