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DEU Germany DFB Pokal · Final ·

Rot-Weiss Essen vs St Pauli

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win29%
Draw26%
Away win45%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2Rot-Weiss EssenSt Pauli
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 26% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rot-Weiss Essen win29%3.453.2029.4%
Draw26%3.853.5026.9%
St Pauli win45%2.222.1543.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rot-Weiss Essen1.26

Home share of expected goals 42.4%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

St Pauli1.71

Away share of expected goals 57.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.50pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.26
Expected goals
1.71
Rot-Weiss EssenSt Pauli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rot-Weiss Essen signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Pauli signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Rot-Weiss Essen vs St Pauli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rot-Weiss Essen win 29%,Draw 26%,St Pauli win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over