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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Match ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 25% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbelchans1275.3%1.33
Över 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Över72%1.39
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Båda lagen gör målJa70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
JK Tallinna Kalev win46%2.17
Oavgjort25%4.00
Maardu Linnameeskond win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Hemma share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 72% · Under 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Borta share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 25%,Maardu Linnameeskond vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Över 2.5 72% · Current selection Över