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TidszoneAsia/Shanghai
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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Kamp ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr29%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 25% / 29%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dobbeltchance1275.3%1.33
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Begge hold scorerJa70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JK Tallinna Kalev win46%2.17
Uafgjort25%4.00
Maardu Linnameeskond win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Ude share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev vundet 46%,Uafgjort 25%,Maardu Linnameeskond vundet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over