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JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit46%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit29%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit46% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
46% / 25% / 29%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Topeltvõimalus1275.3%1.33
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 70% · Ei 30%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
10.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
JK Tallinna Kalev win46%2.17
Viik25%4.00
Maardu Linnameeskond win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Kodu share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Võõras share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 70% · Ei 30%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Võit probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev võit 46%,Viik 25%,Maardu Linnameeskond võit 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle