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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Match ·

Bjarg vs Sotra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger37%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BjargSotra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 25% / 37%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Dubbelchans1274.8%1.34
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målNej50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBjarg winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bjarg win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Sotra win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bjarg1.04

Hemma share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Sotra1.44

Borta share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bjarg

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sotra

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.04
Expected goals
1.44
BjargSotra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bjarg signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sotra signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bjarg vs Sotra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bjarg vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 25%,Sotra vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under