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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Partido ·

Bjarg vs Sotra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante37%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BjargSotra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 25% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Doble Oportunidad1274.8%1.34
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcanNo50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBjarg winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bjarg win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Sotra win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bjarg1.04

Local share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Sotra1.44

Visitante share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Bjarg

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sotra

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.04
Expected goals
1.44
BjargSotra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bjarg signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sotra signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bjarg vs Sotra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bjarg ganada 38%,Empate 25%,Sotra ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de