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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Match ·

Bjarg vs Sotra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BjargSotra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 25% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentNon50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBjarg winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bjarg win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Sotra win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bjarg1.04

Domicile share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Sotra1.44

Extérieur share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Bjarg

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sotra

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.04
Expected goals
1.44
BjargSotra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bjarg signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sotra signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bjarg vs Sotra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bjarg victoire 38%,Nul 25%,Sotra victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de