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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Мач ·

Бярг vs Сотра

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен25%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1БяргСотра
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 25% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Двоен шанс1274.8%1.34
Над 45% · Под 55%Goals 2.5Под55%1.82
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapБярг winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бярг win38%2.632.3039.1%-1.1 pp
Равен25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Сотра win37%2.702.5036%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бярг1.04

Домакин share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 45% · Под 55%

Сотра1.44

Гост share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бярг

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сотра

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.04
Expected goals
1.44
БяргСотра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бярг signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сотра signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Бярг vs Сотра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бярг печеливш 38%,Равен 25%,Сотра печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Над 2.5 45% · Current selection Под