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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Match ·

Notodden vs Sandviken

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.61 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger57%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger57% selection probability
Projected score3–1NotoddenSandviken
Expected goals3.61Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
57% / 22% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sandviken win (20.6%)Dubbelchans1X79.4%1.26
Över 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Över70%1.43
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapNotodden winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Notodden win57%1.751.6055.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp
Sandviken win21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Notodden2.55

Hemma share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.61Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 70% · Under 30%

Sandviken1.06

Borta share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Notodden

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sandviken

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
1.06
NotoddenSandviken
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Notodden signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sandviken signalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Notodden vs Sandviken FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Notodden vunnen 57%,Oavgjort 22%,Sandviken vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Över 2.5 70% · Current selection Över