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NOR Norway Division 2 Group 1 · Match ·

Arendal vs Pors Grenland

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger50%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger50% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArendalPors Grenland
Expected goals3.14Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
50% / 24% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dubbelchans1276.2%1.31
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapArendal winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arendal win50%2.001.8349%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Pors Grenland win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arendal2.00

Hemma share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.14Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

Pors Grenland1.14

Borta share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Arendal

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Pors Grenland

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.00
Expected goals
1.14
ArendalPors Grenland
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arendal signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pors Grenland signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Arendal vs Pors Grenland FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arendal vunnen 50%,Oavgjort 24%,Pors Grenland vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över