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NLD Holandsko - Eerste Divisie · Zápas ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax rezervný tím

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich57%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax rezervný tím
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac52% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
57% / 22% / 21%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax rezervný tím win (21%)Dvojitá šanca1X79%1.27
Viac 52% · Menej 48%Goals 2.5Viac52%1.92
Áno 55% · Nie 45%Oba tímy skórujúÁno55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.4 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Remíza22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Ajax rezervný tím win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Domáci share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 52% · Menej 48%

Ajax rezervný tím1.13

Hostia share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci won 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Ajax rezervný tím

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax rezervný tím
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalDomáci won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax rezervný tím signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax rezervný tím FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht výhra 57%,Remíza 22%,Ajax rezervný tím výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Viac 2.5 52% · Current selection Viac