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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr57%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax reserver
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
57% / 22% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax reserver win (21%)Dobbeltchance1X79%1.27
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Ajax reserver win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Ajax reserver1.13

Ude share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Ajax reserver

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax reserver signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht vundet 57%,Uafgjort 22%,Ajax reserver vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over