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NLD Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier57%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax Reserves
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
57% / 22% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax Reserves win (21%)Dobbel sjanse1X79%1.27
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Ajax Reserves win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Ajax Reserves1.13

Borte share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Ajax Reserves

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax Reserves signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht vunnet 57%,Uavgjort 22%,Ajax Reserves vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over