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NLD Pays-Bas - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Réserves

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–1Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - Réserves
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 22% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax - Réserves win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Nul22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Ajax - Réserves win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Domicile share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Ajax - Réserves1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ajax - Réserves

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht victoire 57%,Nul 22%,Ajax - Réserves victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de