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NLD Madalmaade Eerste Divisie · Final ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - reservid

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–1Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit57%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit21%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - reservid
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle52% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
57% / 22% / 21%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax - reservid win (21%)Topeltvõimalus1X79%1.27
Üle 52% · Alla 48%Goals 2.5Üle52%1.92
Jah 55% · Ei 45%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
10.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Viik22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Ajax - reservid win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Kodu share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 52% · Alla 48%

Ajax - reservid1.13

Võõras share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 55% · Ei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Ajax - reservid

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Võit probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - reservid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - reservid signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - reservid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht võit 57%,Viik 22%,Ajax - reservid võit 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Üle 2.5 52% · Current selection Üle