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MOZ Мозамбик - Мокамбола · Матч ·

Феровиарио Мапуто vs АД Пемба

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей19%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Феровиарио МапутоАД Пемба
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 30% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes АД Пемба win (18.8%)Двойной шанс1X81.2%1.23
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Феровиарио Мапуто win51%1.961.7352%
Ничья30%3.333.0030%
АД Пемба win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Феровиарио Мапуто1.46

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

АД Пемба0.86

Гости share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Феровиарио Мапуто

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АД Пемба

0.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
0.86
Феровиарио МапутоАД Пемба
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Феровиарио Мапуто signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АД Пемба signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Феровиарио Мапуто vs АД Пемба FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Феровиарио Мапуто выигрыш 51%,Ничья 30%,АД Пемба выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше