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Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite19%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 30% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Pemba win (18.8%)Doppia Chance1X81.2%1.23
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferroviario Maputo win51%1.961.7352%
Pareggio30%3.333.0030%
AD Pemba win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviario Maputo1.46

Casa share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%

AD Pemba0.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ferroviario Maputo

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

AD Pemba

0.00pts / match
Giocate1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punti0

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
0.86
Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviario Maputo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Pemba signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviario Maputo vinta 51%,Pareggio 30%,AD Pemba vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto