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MOZ Moçambique - Moçambola · Partida ·

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa51%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante19%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
51% / 30% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Pemba win (18.8%)Dupla Chance1X81.2%1.23
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferroviario Maputo win51%1.961.7352%
Empate30%3.333.0030%
AD Pemba win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviario Maputo1.46

Mandante share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

AD Pemba0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ferroviario Maputo

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AD Pemba

0.00pts / match
Jogos1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Pontos0

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
0.86
Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviario Maputo signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Pemba signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviario Maputo ganhou 51%,Empate 30%,AD Pemba ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo