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MOZ モザンビーク モザンボーラ · 試合 ·

フェロヴィアリオ・マプト vs ADペンバ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利19%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score1–1フェロヴィアリオ・マプトADペンバ
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 30% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADペンバ win (18.8%)ダブルチャンス1X81.2%1.23
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.32 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
フェロヴィアリオ・マプト win51%1.961.7352%
引き分け30%3.333.0030%
ADペンバ win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フェロヴィアリオ・マプト1.46

ホーム share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

ADペンバ0.86

アウェイ share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フェロヴィアリオ・マプト

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ADペンバ

0.00pts / match
試合数1Wins0Drawn0Losses1ポイント0

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
0.86
フェロヴィアリオ・マプトADペンバ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フェロヴィアリオ・マプト signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADペンバ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

フェロヴィアリオ・マプト vs ADペンバ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フェロヴィアリオ・マプト 勝ち 51%,引き分け 30%,ADペンバ 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー