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MOZ Mozambique - Moçambola · Wedstrijd ·

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst19%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 30% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Pemba win (18.8%)Dubbele Kans1X81.2%1.23
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferroviario Maputo win51%1.961.7352%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0030%
AD Pemba win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviario Maputo1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

AD Pemba0.86

Uit share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ferroviario Maputo

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Pemba

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
0.86
Ferroviario MaputoAD Pemba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviario Maputo signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Pemba signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviario Maputo gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 30%,AD Pemba gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder