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MOZ Mozambique Mocambola · Round 9 ·

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba F.C

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite12%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Black BullsBaía de Pemba F.C
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 24% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baía de Pemba F.C win (12.4%)Doppia Chance1X87.6%1.14
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Black Bulls win64%1.561.3665.8%
Pareggio24%4.173.9023%
Baía de Pemba F.C win12%8.338.0011.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Black Bulls1.65

Casa share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

Baía de Pemba F.C0.74

Trasferta share of expected goals 31%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Black Bulls

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Baía de Pemba F.C

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.65
Expected goals
0.74
Black BullsBaía de Pemba F.C
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Black Bulls signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baía de Pemba F.C signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba F.C FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Black Bulls vinta 64%,Pareggio 24%,Baía de Pemba F.C vinta 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto