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MOZ Mozambique Mocambola · Round 9 ·

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba F.C

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw24%
Away win12%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Black BullsBaía de Pemba F.C
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 24% / 12%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baía de Pemba F.C win (12.4%)Double chance1X87.6%1.14
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Black Bulls win64%1.561.3665.8%
Draw24%4.173.9023%
Baía de Pemba F.C win12%8.338.0011.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Black Bulls1.65

Home share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Baía de Pemba F.C0.74

Away share of expected goals 31%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Black Bulls

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Baía de Pemba F.C

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.65
Expected goals
0.74
Black BullsBaía de Pemba F.C
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Black Bulls signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baía de Pemba F.C signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba F.C FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Black Bulls win 64%,Draw 24%,Baía de Pemba F.C win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under