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ENG Англия - Северная Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Гайзли vs Уоррингтон Таун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score1–1ГайзлиУоррингтон Таун
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 26% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Уоррингтон Таун win (23.5%)Двойной шанс1X76.5%1.31
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapУоррингтон Таун winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гайзли win51%1.961.7551.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Уоррингтон Таун win24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гайзли1.42

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Уоррингтон Таун1.14

Гости share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гайзли

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Уоррингтон Таун

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalГости failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
ГайзлиУоррингтон Таун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гайзли signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уоррингтон Таун signalГости failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Гайзли vs Уоррингтон Таун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гайзли выигрыш 51%,Ничья 26%,Уоррингтон Таун выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше