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ENG Англия - Северна Висша лига · Мач ·

Гисли vs Уорингтън Таун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен26%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score1–1ГислиУорингтън Таун
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 26% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Уорингтън Таун win (23.5%)Двоен шанс1X76.5%1.31
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapУорингтън Таун winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гисли win51%1.961.7551.3%-0.3 pp
Равен26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Уорингтън Таун win24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гисли1.42

Домакин share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Уорингтън Таун1.14

Гост share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Гисли

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Уорингтън Таун

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalГост failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
ГислиУорингтън Таун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гисли signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уорингтън Таун signalГост failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Гисли vs Уорингтън Таун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гисли печеливш 51%,Равен 26%,Уорингтън Таун печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под