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ENG Inghilterra - Northern Premier League · Partita ·

Guiseley vs Warrington Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score1–1GuiseleyWarrington Town
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 26% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Warrington Town win (23.5%)Doppia Chance1X76.5%1.31
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWarrington Town winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guiseley win51%1.961.7551.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Warrington Town win24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guiseley1.42

Casa share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Warrington Town1.14

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Guiseley

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Warrington Town

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
GuiseleyWarrington Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guiseley signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warrington Town signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Guiseley vs Warrington Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guiseley vinta 51%,Pareggio 26%,Warrington Town vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto