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ENG Engeland - Northern Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Guiseley vs Warrington Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1GuiseleyWarrington Town
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 29% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Dubbele Kans1270.9%1.41
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Guiseley win40%2.50
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Warrington Town win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guiseley1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Warrington Town1.14

Uit share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Guiseley

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Warrington Town

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalUit failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
GuiseleyWarrington Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guiseley signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warrington Town signalUit failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Guiseley vs Warrington Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guiseley gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 29%,Warrington Town gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder