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ENG Αγγλία - Βόρεια Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Γκίσελεϊ vs Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου51%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου51% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΓκίσελεϊΓουόρινγκτον Τάουν
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω53% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
51% / 26% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν win (23.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.5%1.31
Άνω 47% · Κάτω 53%Goals 2.5Κάτω53%1.89
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapΓουόρινγκτον Τάουν winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Γκίσελεϊ win51%1.961.7551.3%-0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν win24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Γκίσελεϊ1.42

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 47% · Κάτω 53%

Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν1.14

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Γκίσελεϊ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
ΓκίσελεϊΓουόρινγκτον Τάουν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Γκίσελεϊ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Γκίσελεϊ vs Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Γκίσελεϊ νίκη 51%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Γουόρινγκτον Τάουν νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Άνω 2.5 47% · Current selection Κάτω