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JPN Япония - Джей-лига - Кубок · Round 1 ·

Кочи Юнайтед vs ФК Матсумото Й

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Кочи ЮнайтедФК Матсумото Й
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 29% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Двойной шанс1271.3%1.40
Больше 21% · Меньше 79%Goals 2.5Меньше79%1.27
Да 27% · Нет 73%Обе забьютНет73%1.37
1.57 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapКочи Юнайтед winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кочи Юнайтед win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
ФК Матсумото Й win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кочи Юнайтед0.53

Хозяева share of expected goals 33.8%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 21% · Меньше 79%

ФК Матсумото Й1.04

Гости share of expected goals 66.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 27% · Нет 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Кочи Юнайтед

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Матсумото Й

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.53
Expected goals
1.04
Кочи ЮнайтедФК Матсумото Й
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кочи Юнайтед signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Матсумото Й signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Кочи Юнайтед vs ФК Матсумото Й FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кочи Юнайтед выигрыш 36%,Ничья 29%,ФК Матсумото Й выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · ТБ 2.5 21% · Current selection Меньше