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JPN Япония - Джей-лига - Кубок · Round 1 ·

Гайнарэ Тоттори vs ФК Осака

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей43%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гайнарэ ТотториФК Осака
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 28% / 43%Исход матчаПобеда гостей43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Двойной шанс1272.1%1.39
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.38 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapФК Осака winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гайнарэ Тоттори win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
ФК Осака win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гайнарэ Тоттори1.13

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

ФК Осака1.25

Гости share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гайнарэ Тоттори

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Осака

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.13
Expected goals
1.25
Гайнарэ ТотториФК Осака
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гайнарэ Тоттори signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Осака signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Гайнарэ Тоттори vs ФК Осака FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гайнарэ Тоттори выигрыш 29%,Ничья 28%,ФК Осака выигрыш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше