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JPN Japão - Liga J3 · Round 1 ·

Kōchi United SC vs Matsumoto Y FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante35%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kōchi United SCMatsumoto Y FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo79% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 29% / 35%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Dupla Chance1271.3%1.40
Acima 21% · Abaixo 79%Goals 2.5Abaixo79%1.27
Sim 27% · Não 73%Ambas as equipes marcamNão73%1.37
1.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapKōchi United SC winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kōchi United SC win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Matsumoto Y FC win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kōchi United SC0.53

Mandante share of expected goals 33.8%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 21% · Abaixo 79%

Matsumoto Y FC1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 66.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 27% · Não 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Kōchi United SC

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Matsumoto Y FC

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.53
Expected goals
1.04
Kōchi United SCMatsumoto Y FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kōchi United SC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Matsumoto Y FC signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kōchi United SC vs Matsumoto Y FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kōchi United SC ganhou 36%,Empate 29%,Matsumoto Y FC ganhou 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Acima 2.5 21% · Current selection Abaixo