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JPN Japonia - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Kochi United vs Matsumoto Y FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.57 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy36%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości35%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kochi UnitedMatsumoto Y FC
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej79% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
36% / 29% / 35%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Podwójna szansa1271.3%1.40
Powyżej 21% · Poniżej 79%Goals 2.5Poniżej79%1.27
Tak 27% · Nie 73%Obie drużyny strzeląNie73%1.37
1.57 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapKochi United winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kochi United win36%2.782.3837.8%-1.8 pp
Remis29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Matsumoto Y FC win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kochi United0.53

Gospodarze share of expected goals 33.8%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 21% · Poniżej 79%

Matsumoto Y FC1.04

Goście share of expected goals 66.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 27% · Nie 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Kochi United

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Matsumoto Y FC

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.53
Expected goals
1.04
Kochi UnitedMatsumoto Y FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kochi United signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Matsumoto Y FC signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kochi United vs Matsumoto Y FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kochi United wygrana 36%,Remis 29%,Matsumoto Y FC wygrana 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Powyżej 2.5 21% · Current selection Poniżej