MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
JPN Japonia - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy52%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Expected goals3.65Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej71% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
52% / 25% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thespa Gunma win (23.6%)Podwójna szansa1X76.4%1.31
Powyżej 71% · Poniżej 29%Goals 2.5Powyżej71%1.41
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapKagoshima United winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kagoshima United win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Thespa Gunma win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kagoshima United2.25

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 71% · Poniżej 29%

Thespa Gunma1.40

Goście share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Kagoshima United

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Thespa Gunma

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kagoshima United signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thespa Gunma signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kagoshima United wygrana 52%,Remis 25%,Thespa Gunma wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Powyżej 2.5 71% · Current selection Powyżej