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JPN Japonsko - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích52%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Expected goals3.65Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více71% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
52% / 25% / 24%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thespa Gunma win (23.6%)Dvojitá šance1X76.4%1.31
Více 71% · Méně 29%Goals 2.5Více71%1.41
Ano 68% · Ne 32%Oba týmy skórujíAno68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapKagoshima United winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kagoshima United win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Thespa Gunma win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kagoshima United2.25

Domácí share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 71% · Méně 29%

Thespa Gunma1.40

Hosté share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 68% · Ne 32%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Kagoshima United

0.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Thespa Gunma

3.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kagoshima United signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thespa Gunma signalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kagoshima United výhra 52%,Remíza 25%,Thespa Gunma výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Více 2.5 71% · Current selection Více