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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

Бока Унидос vs Индепендьенте Чивилькой

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бока УнидосИндепендьенте Чивилькой
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 29% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Двойной шанс1270.9%1.41
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Бока Унидос win38%2.63
Ничья29%3.45
Индепендьенте Чивилькой win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бока Унидос1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Индепендьенте Чивилькой1.21

Гости share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бока Унидос

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Индепендьенте Чивилькой

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
Бока УнидосИндепендьенте Чивилькой
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бока Унидос signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Индепендьенте Чивилькой signalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Бока Унидос vs Индепендьенте Чивилькой FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бока Унидос выигрыш 38%,Ничья 29%,Индепендьенте Чивилькой выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше