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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Бока Унидос vs Индепендиенте Чивилкой

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен30%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бока УнидосИндепендиенте Чивилкой
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 30% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Индепендиенте Чивилкой win (25.6%)Двоен шанс1X74.4%1.34
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapИндепендиенте Чивилкой winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бока Унидос win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Равен30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Индепендиенте Чивилкой win26%3.853.6025%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бока Унидос1.36

Домакин share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Индепендиенте Чивилкой1.21

Гост share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бока Унидос

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Индепендиенте Чивилкой

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
Бока УнидосИндепендиенте Чивилкой
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бока Унидос signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Индепендиенте Чивилкой signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Бока Унидос vs Индепендиенте Чивилкой FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бока Унидос печеливш 45%,Равен 30%,Индепендиенте Чивилкой печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под