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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partida ·

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa45%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 30% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Chivilcoy win (25.6%)Dupla Chance1X74.4%1.34
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapIndependiente Chivilcoy winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Unidos win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Empate30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Independiente Chivilcoy win26%3.853.6025%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Unidos1.36

Mandante share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Independiente Chivilcoy1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Boca Unidos

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Independiente Chivilcoy

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Unidos signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Chivilcoy signalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Unidos ganhou 45%,Empate 30%,Independiente Chivilcoy ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo