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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 30% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Chivilcoy win (25.6%)Dubbelchans1X74.4%1.34
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapIndependiente Chivilcoy winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Unidos win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Independiente Chivilcoy win26%3.853.6025%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Unidos1.36

Hemma share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Independiente Chivilcoy1.21

Borta share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Boca Unidos

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Independiente Chivilcoy

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Unidos signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente Chivilcoy signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Unidos vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 30%,Independiente Chivilcoy vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under