Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 30% / 26%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Chivilcoy win (25.6%)Double chance1X74.4%1.34
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapIndependiente Chivilcoy winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Unidos win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Independiente Chivilcoy win26%3.853.6025%+1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.9%
Total expected goals2.57Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 47.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBoca Unidos
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchIndependiente Chivilcoy
DLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
26%6
Points from supplied form
21.36
Expected goals
1.21Boca UnidosIndependiente Chivilcoy
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Boca Unidos win 45%，Draw 30%，Independiente Chivilcoy win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。