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ITA Италия - Серия С - Группа С · Матч ·

Кротоне vs Фоджа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1КротонеФоджа
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 27% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фоджа win (21.7%)Двойной шанс1X78.3%1.28
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
2.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
7.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapКротоне winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кротоне win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
Ничья27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Фоджа win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кротоне2.24

Хозяева share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Фоджа0.54

Гости share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Кротоне

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фоджа

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
КротонеФоджа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кротоне signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фоджа signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Кротоне vs Фоджа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кротоне выигрыш 51%,Ничья 27%,Фоджа выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше