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ITA Italia - Serie C - Grupo C · Partido ·

Crotone vs Foggia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CrotoneFoggia
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 27% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Foggia win (21.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.3%1.28
Más de 53% · Menos de 47%Goals 2.5Más de53%1.89
Sí 37% · No 63%Ambos equipos marcanNo63%1.59
2.78 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
7.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCrotone winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crotone win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
Empate27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Foggia win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crotone2.24

Local share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 53% · Menos de 47%

Foggia0.54

Visitante share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Crotone

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Foggia

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
CrotoneFoggia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crotone signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Foggia signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Crotone vs Foggia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crotone ganada 51%,Empate 27%,Foggia ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Más de 2.5 53% · Current selection Más de