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ITA 意大利丙級聯賽 C組 · 比賽 ·

克努托內 vs 霍治

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
27%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1克努托內霍治
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.553% for the selected side
雙方進球63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 27% / 22%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 霍治 win (21.7%)雙重機會1X78.3%1.28
大 53% · 小 47%Goals 2.553%1.89
是 37% · 否 63%雙方進球63%1.59
2.78 total expected goals正確比分2–1
7.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gap克努托內 winDifference+2.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
克努托內 win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
霍治 win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

克努托內2.24

主隊 share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 53% · 47%

霍治0.54

客隊 share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 37% · 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

克努托內

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

霍治

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
克努托內霍治
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01克努托內 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02霍治 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

克努托內 vs 霍治 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

克努托內 51%, 27%,霍治 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · 大2.5 53% · Current selection