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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
ITA Olasz Serie C - C csoport · Mérkőzés ·

Crotone vs Foggia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem51%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CrotoneFoggia
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett53% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
51% / 27% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Foggia win (21.7%)Dupla esély1X78.3%1.28
Felett 53% · Alatt 47%Goals 2.5Felett53%1.89
Igen 37% · Nem 63%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem63%1.59
2.78 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
7.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCrotone winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crotone win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Foggia win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crotone2.24

Hazai share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 53% · Alatt 47%

Foggia0.54

Vendég share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 37% · Nem 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Crotone

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai won 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Foggia

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
CrotoneFoggia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crotone signalHazai won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Foggia signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Crotone vs Foggia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crotone nyer 51%,Döntetlen 27%,Foggia nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · 2.5 felett 53% · Current selection Felett