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クロトーネ vs フォジア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1クロトーネフォジア
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 27% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フォジア win (21.7%)ダブルチャンス1X78.3%1.28
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
2.78 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapクロトーネ winDifference+2.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
クロトーネ win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
引き分け27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
フォジア win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

クロトーネ2.24

ホーム share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

フォジア0.54

アウェイ share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

クロトーネ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フォジア

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
クロトーネフォジア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01クロトーネ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フォジア signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

クロトーネ vs フォジア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

クロトーネ 勝ち 51%,引き分け 27%,フォジア 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー