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ITA Taliansko - Serie C - Skupina C · Zápas ·

Crotone vs Foggia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich51%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CrotoneFoggia
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
51% / 27% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Foggia win (21.7%)Dvojitá šanca1X78.3%1.28
Viac 53% · Menej 47%Goals 2.5Viac53%1.89
Áno 37% · Nie 63%Oba tímy skórujúNie63%1.59
2.78 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
7.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCrotone winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crotone win51%1.961.8548.4%+2.6 pp
Remíza27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Foggia win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crotone2.24

Domáci share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 53% · Menej 47%

Foggia0.54

Hostia share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 37% · Nie 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Crotone

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci won 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Foggia

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.24
Expected goals
0.54
CrotoneFoggia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crotone signalDomáci won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Foggia signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Crotone vs Foggia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crotone výhra 51%,Remíza 27%,Foggia výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Viac 2.5 53% · Current selection Viac