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ITA Италия - Серия С - Группа С · Матч ·

Салернитана vs Сорренто

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей16%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1СалернитанаСорренто
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 24% / 16%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сорренто win (16.2%)Двойной шанс1X83.8%1.19
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapСорренто winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Салернитана win60%1.671.5059.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Сорренто win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Салернитана1.85

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Сорренто0.78

Гости share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Салернитана

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сорренто

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.85
Expected goals
0.78
СалернитанаСорренто
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Салернитана signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сорренто signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Салернитана vs Сорренто FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Салернитана выигрыш 60%,Ничья 24%,Сорренто выигрыш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше