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PRT Португалия - Лига Сегунда · Round 1 ·

Пенафиел vs Портимоненси

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ПенафиелПортимоненси
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 30% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двойной шанс1270.3%1.42
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Пенафиел win40%2.50
Ничья30%3.33
Портимоненси win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Пенафиел1.37

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Портимоненси1.06

Гости share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Пенафиел

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Портимоненси

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.06
ПенафиелПортимоненси
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Пенафиел signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Портимоненси signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Пенафиел vs Портимоненси FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Пенафиел выигрыш 40%,Ничья 30%,Портимоненси выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше