Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 30% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Doppia Chance1270.2%1.42
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Penafiel win40%2.50
Pareggio30%3.33
Portimonense win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 56.4%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%
Trasferta share of expected goals 43.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPenafiel
LWLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPortimonense
WDWLW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
101.37
Expected goals
1.06PenafielPortimonense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penafiel vinta 40%，Pareggio 30%，Portimonense vinta 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto。