Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 30% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Șansă dublă1270.2%1.42
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsScor corect1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Penafiel win40%2.50
Egal30%3.33
Portimonense win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 56.4%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPenafiel
LWLWL
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPortimonense
WDWLW
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10
SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
101.37
Expected goals
1.06PenafielPortimonense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penafiel câștig 40%，Egal 30%，Portimonense câștig 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub。